{"id":1701687,"date":"2026-08-25T16:24:29","date_gmt":"2026-08-25T13:24:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alegria-realestate.com\/?p=1701687"},"modified":"2026-08-25T16:24:29","modified_gmt":"2026-08-25T13:24:29","slug":"spain-will-lead-europe-in-house-price-growth-in-2027-2028","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/alegria-realestate.com\/es\/articles\/spain-will-lead-europe-in-house-price-growth-in-2027-2028","title":{"rendered":"Espa\u00f1a liderar\u00e1 el crecimiento del precio de la vivienda en Europa en 2027\u20132028"},"content":{"rendered":"

La subida de los precios de la vivienda en Espa\u00f1a<\/a> no mostrar\u00e1 signos de desaceleraci\u00f3n durante los pr\u00f3ximos cuatro a\u00f1os.<\/p>\n

Seg\u00fan las previsiones de Standard & Poor\u2019s Global Ratings, los precios subir\u00e1n un 9,1% en 2026, mientras que en 2027\u20132028 Espa\u00f1a se convertir\u00e1 en el pa\u00eds europeo con el mayor crecimiento \u2013 un 7,4% y un 6,2%, respectivamente.<\/p>\n

Portugal liderar\u00e1 en 2026<\/h2>\n

En el a\u00f1o actual, el l\u00edder ser\u00e1 Portugal, donde el crecimiento alcanzar\u00e1 el 10%.<\/p>\n

S&P Global Ratings revis\u00f3 al alza en un 3% su previsi\u00f3n sobre la evoluci\u00f3n de los precios en Portugal, realizada en febrero de este a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n

En el caso de Espa\u00f1a, los economistas de la agencia rebajaron la previsi\u00f3n en un 0,2%.<\/p>\n

La agencia subraya el impacto del din\u00e1mico mercado laboral en el mercado de la vivienda.<\/p>\n

La fuerte creaci\u00f3n de empleo y el crecimiento de los salarios han aumentado el poder adquisitivo y han impulsado la inmigraci\u00f3n, agravando la brecha entre la oferta y la demanda.<\/p>\n

Al mismo tiempo, las barreras administrativas en el sector de la construcci\u00f3n frenan el desarrollo de nuevos proyectos.<\/p>\n

Los precios de la vivienda subir\u00e1n en toda Europa<\/h2>\n

S&P espera que los precios de la vivienda en toda Europa suban una media del 4% en 2026 y m\u00e1s del 3% en 2027, superando el ritmo de crecimiento de los ingresos de los hogares.<\/p>\n

La tendencia alcista se mantendr\u00e1 hasta 2029 en todos los mercados analizados por la agencia de calificaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n

La tesis principal del informe es que este crecimiento se debe al d\u00e9ficit de vivienda nueva.<\/p>\n

Esta situaci\u00f3n persiste por la falta de mano de obra cualificada, los altos costes de construcci\u00f3n, que siguen siendo significativos tras la invasi\u00f3n rusa de Ucrania en 2022, los complejos procedimientos urban\u00edsticos y el fuerte crecimiento del alquiler tur\u00edstico, que reduce el parque residencial<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Las medidas p\u00fablicas no tendr\u00e1n efecto inmediato<\/h2>\n

Varios gobiernos ya han anunciado sus planes: Alemania \u2013 Bau-Turbo, Francia \u2013 Relance Logement, Espa\u00f1a \u2013 Plan Estatal de Vivienda de 7.000 millones de euros, e Italia \u2013 Piano Casa.<\/p>\n

Sin embargo, S&P advierte de que el efecto real de estas medidas solo se ver\u00e1 dentro de varios a\u00f1os.<\/p>\n

Al mismo tiempo, algunas medidas, como los est\u00edmulos a la demanda, pueden incluso aumentar la presi\u00f3n al alza sobre los precios.<\/p>\n

Escenario alternativo de S&P<\/h2>\n

La agencia tambi\u00e9n ha elaborado un escenario alternativo m\u00e1s favorable, en el que una r\u00e1pida desinflaci\u00f3n y una bajada de los tipos de inter\u00e9s llevar\u00edan el crecimiento de los precios en Europa al 1,4% en 2028.<\/p>\n

En este caso, Alemania y el Reino Unido ser\u00edan los m\u00e1s beneficiados por su mayor sensibilidad a los tipos de inter\u00e9s.<\/p>\n

Mientras tanto, Espa\u00f1a, Portugal e Irlanda \u2013 mercados sometidos a tensiones estructurales \u2013 apenas se desviar\u00edan de la trayectoria base.<\/p>\n

La agencia prev\u00e9 que para 2029 los efectos de las fluctuaciones de los precios de la energ\u00eda habr\u00e1n desaparecido en gran medida.<\/p>\n

As\u00ed, el escenario m\u00e1s suave refleja principalmente un desplazamiento temporal: el crecimiento de los precios de la vivienda se produce antes, en 2027\u20132028, en lugar de acumularse hasta 2029.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

La subida de los precios de la vivienda en\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":34,"featured_media":1701688,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1701687","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articles"],"yoast_head":"\nEspa\u00f1a liderar\u00e1 Europa en crecimiento de precios de la vivienda en 2027\u20132028<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Seg\u00fan S&P Global Ratings, los precios de la vivienda en Espa\u00f1a subir\u00e1n un 9,1% en 2026, y en 2027\u20132028 el pa\u00eds se convertir\u00e1 en l\u00edder europeo en crecimiento de precios.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/alegria-realestate.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1701687\" \/>\n<meta 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