{"id":1701687,"date":"2026-08-25T16:24:29","date_gmt":"2026-08-25T13:24:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alegria-realestate.com\/?p=1701687"},"modified":"2026-08-25T16:24:29","modified_gmt":"2026-08-25T13:24:29","slug":"spain-will-lead-europe-in-house-price-growth-in-2027-2028","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/alegria-realestate.com\/fr\/articles\/spain-will-lead-europe-in-house-price-growth-in-2027-2028","title":{"rendered":"L\u2019Espagne sera en t\u00eate de la hausse des prix du logement en Europe en 2027\u20132028"},"content":{"rendered":"

La hausse des prix du logement en Espagne<\/a> ne montrera aucun signe de ralentissement au cours des quatre prochaines ann\u00e9es.<\/p>\n

Selon les pr\u00e9visions de Standard & Poor\u2019s Global Ratings, les prix augmenteront de 9,1% en 2026, puis en 2027\u20132028 l\u2019Espagne deviendra le pays europ\u00e9en affichant la plus forte progression \u2013 7,4% et 6,2% respectivement.<\/p>\n

Le Portugal sera leader en 2026<\/h2>\n

Cette ann\u00e9e, le Portugal sera en t\u00eate, avec une hausse de 10%.<\/p>\n

S&P Global Ratings a relev\u00e9 de 3% sa pr\u00e9vision concernant l\u2019\u00e9volution des prix au Portugal, \u00e9tablie en f\u00e9vrier dernier.<\/p>\n

Pour l\u2019Espagne, les \u00e9conomistes de l\u2019agence de notation ont abaiss\u00e9 leur pr\u00e9vision de 0,2%.<\/p>\n

L\u2019agence souligne l\u2019impact du dynamisme du march\u00e9 du travail sur le march\u00e9 du logement.<\/p>\n

La forte cr\u00e9ation d\u2019emplois et la hausse des salaires ont augment\u00e9 le pouvoir d\u2019achat et stimul\u00e9 l\u2019immigration, accentuant l\u2019\u00e9cart entre l\u2019offre et la demande.<\/p>\n

Dans le m\u00eame temps, les obstacles administratifs dans le secteur de la construction freinent la r\u00e9alisation de nouveaux projets.<\/p>\n

Les prix du logement augmenteront dans toute l\u2019Europe<\/h2>\n

S&P s\u2019attend \u00e0 ce que les prix du logement en Europe augmentent en moyenne de 4% en 2026 et de plus de 3% en 2027, d\u00e9passant le rythme de croissance des revenus des m\u00e9nages.<\/p>\n

La tendance haussi\u00e8re se poursuivra jusqu\u2019en 2029 sur tous les march\u00e9s analys\u00e9s par l\u2019agence de notation.<\/p>\n

La th\u00e8se principale du rapport est que cette hausse est due au d\u00e9ficit de logements neufs.<\/p>\n

Cette situation persiste en raison du manque de main-d\u2019\u0153uvre qualifi\u00e9e, des co\u00fbts de construction \u00e9lev\u00e9s, qui restent importants depuis l\u2019invasion russe de l\u2019Ukraine en 2022, des proc\u00e9dures urbanistiques complexes et du fort d\u00e9veloppement de la location touristique, qui r\u00e9duit le parc r\u00e9sidentiel<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Les mesures publiques ne produiront pas d\u2019effet imm\u00e9diat<\/h2>\n

Plusieurs gouvernements ont d\u00e9j\u00e0 annonc\u00e9 leurs plans: Allemagne \u2013 Bau-Turbo, France \u2013 Relance Logement, Espagne \u2013 Plan Estatal de Vivienda dot\u00e9 de 7 milliards d\u2019euros, Italie \u2013 Piano Casa.<\/p>\n

Cependant, S&P avertit que l\u2019effet r\u00e9el de ces mesures ne se manifestera que dans plusieurs ann\u00e9es.<\/p>\n

Dans le m\u00eame temps, certaines mesures, comme la stimulation de la demande, pourraient m\u00eame renforcer la pression \u00e0 la hausse sur les prix.<\/p>\n

Le sc\u00e9nario alternatif de S&P<\/h2>\n

L\u2019agence a \u00e9galement \u00e9labor\u00e9 un sc\u00e9nario alternatif plus favorable, dans lequel une d\u00e9sinflation rapide et une baisse des taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat entra\u00eeneraient une hausse des prix en Europe de 1,4% d\u2019ici 2028.<\/p>\n

Dans ce cas, l\u2019Allemagne et le Royaume-Uni en b\u00e9n\u00e9ficieraient le plus gr\u00e2ce \u00e0 leur plus grande sensibilit\u00e9 aux taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat.<\/p>\n

L\u2019Espagne, le Portugal et l\u2019Irlande \u2013 des march\u00e9s soumis \u00e0 des tensions structurelles \u2013 s\u2019\u00e9carteraient \u00e0 peine de la trajectoire de base.<\/p>\n

L\u2019agence pr\u00e9voit qu\u2019en 2029 les effets des fluctuations des prix de l\u2019\u00e9nergie auront en grande partie disparu.<\/p>\n

Ainsi, le sc\u00e9nario plus mod\u00e9r\u00e9 refl\u00e8te principalement un d\u00e9calage temporel: la hausse des prix du logement intervient plus t\u00f4t, en 2027\u20132028, au lieu de s\u2019accumuler jusqu\u2019en 2029.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

La hausse des prix du logement en Espagne ne\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":34,"featured_media":1701688,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1701687","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articles"],"yoast_head":"\nL\u2019Espagne deviendra le leader europ\u00e9en de la hausse des prix du logement en 2027\u20132028<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Selon les pr\u00e9visions de S&P Global Ratings, les prix du logement en Espagne augmenteront de 9,1% en 2026, puis le pays deviendra le leader europ\u00e9en de la hausse des prix en 2027\u20132028.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/alegria-realestate.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1701687\" \/>\n<meta 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