{"id":1007357,"date":"2025-12-08T20:32:36","date_gmt":"2025-12-08T17:32:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alegria-realestate.com\/?p=1007357"},"modified":"2025-12-08T20:47:42","modified_gmt":"2025-12-08T17:47:42","slug":"economists-view-spain-is-on-the-verge-of-a-real-estate-boom-with-no-bubble-signs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/alegria-realestate.com\/sv\/articles\/economists-view-spain-is-on-the-verge-of-a-real-estate-boom-with-no-bubble-signs","title":{"rendered":"Nationalekonomens syn: Spanien st\u00e5r inf\u00f6r en bostadsboom \u2013 men inga tecken p\u00e5 en bubbla"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/p>\n

En ny boom p\u00e5 den spanska bostadsmarknaden<\/h2>\n

Portalen Fotocasa anordnade Pro Academy Day i Madrid \u2013 ett m\u00f6te f\u00f6r yrkesverksamma och experter inom fastighetsbranschen. En av de viktigaste id\u00e9erna presenterades av nationalekonomen Gonzalo Bernardos, som menar att bostadsmarknaden i Spanien st\u00e5r inf\u00f6r en boom, driven av strukturella f\u00f6r\u00e4ndringar i hur bost\u00e4der k\u00f6ps. Den avg\u00f6rande faktorn \u00e4r generationsv\u00e4xlingen av f\u00f6rm\u00f6genhet, vilket f\u00f6r\u00e4ndrar k\u00f6parprofilen och uppr\u00e4tth\u00e5ller en stark efterfr\u00e5gan trots stigande priser.<\/p>\n

Samtidigt handlar det om en boom och inte om en \u00abbubbla\u00bb<\/a> som den man s\u00e5g 2006\u20132007. I dag stiger priserna inte f\u00f6r att bankerna beviljar f\u00f6r m\u00e5nga l\u00e5n, utan p\u00e5 grund av en tydlig brist p\u00e5 nyproducerade bost\u00e4der.<\/p>\n

Unga k\u00f6pare och familjens st\u00f6d<\/h2>\n

Personer under 40 \u00e5r har blivit den grupp som i st\u00f6rst utstr\u00e4ckning driver k\u00f6p och f\u00f6rs\u00e4ljning av bost\u00e4der i Spanien. Deras \u00e4garandel har minskat kraftigt (fr\u00e5n 59 % \u00e5r 2007 till 27 % \u00e5r 2024 i \u00e5ldersgruppen 26\u201329 \u00e5r), och deras m\u00f6jlighet att k\u00f6pa bostad beror n\u00e4stan helt p\u00e5 ekonomiskt st\u00f6d fr\u00e5n familjen.<\/p>\n

Familjens st\u00f6d har blivit en ny social norm f\u00f6r f\u00f6r\u00e4ldraansvar, d\u00e4r man t\u00e4cker den kontantinsats som bankerna inte finansierar. P\u00e5 s\u00e5 s\u00e4tt kan en generation med begr\u00e4nsade inkomster, os\u00e4kra anst\u00e4llningar och en anstr\u00e4ngd hyresmarknad<\/a> fortfarande f\u00e5 tillg\u00e5ng till \u00e4gt boende.<\/p>\n

Att k\u00f6pa eller hyra: effekten av rekordh\u00f6ga priser<\/h2>\n

Trycket p\u00e5 hyresmarknaden \u00e4r den fr\u00e4msta faktorn som driver p\u00e5 k\u00f6p. Mycket h\u00f6ga hyror, brist p\u00e5 utbud och en k\u00e4nsla av r\u00e4ttslig os\u00e4kerhet skapar v\u00e4xande oro bland unga hyresg\u00e4ster, varav m\u00e5nga inser att de betalar mer \u00e4n vad de skulle g\u00f6ra f\u00f6r ett bol\u00e5n<\/a>. Bevisen f\u00f6r att det kan vara billigare att k\u00f6pa \u00e4n att hyra, i kombination med familjens st\u00f6d, p\u00e5skyndar beslutet att k\u00f6pa<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Skillnader mellan dagens cykel och 2006\u20132007<\/h2>\n

Den nuvarande cykeln skiljer sig fr\u00e5n perioden 2006\u20132007 i f\u00f6ljande centrala avseenden:<\/p>\n

    \n
  1. F\u00f6rsiktig kreditgivning fr\u00e5n bankerna<\/strong>Volymen beviljade bol\u00e5n \u00e4r i dag betydligt l\u00e4gre \u00e4n d\u00e5, samtidigt som andelen l\u00e5n med bunden r\u00e4nta \u00e4r h\u00f6gre. I nominella termer uppg\u00e5r den nuvarande utl\u00e5ningen endast till omkring 35 % av bol\u00e5nevolymen \u00e5r 2006. De flesta l\u00e5n har en avsev\u00e4rt l\u00e4gre risk f\u00f6r betalningsinst\u00e4llelse \u00e4n under \u00e5ren 2006\u20132007, d\u00e5 m\u00e5nga l\u00e5n med r\u00f6rlig r\u00e4nta beviljades.<\/li>\n
  2. Brist p\u00e5 utbud<\/strong>Det st\u00f6rsta hindret \u00e4r bristen p\u00e5 nyproducerade bost\u00e4der<\/a>. Aktiviteten \u00e4r koncentrerad till andrahandsmarknaden, som forts\u00e4tter att g\u00e5 starkt tack vare bristsituationen. Utbudet v\u00e4xer inte \u00f6ver en natt \u2013 det tar \u00e5r, ibland decennier, att omvandla mark till bost\u00e4der.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    Rekommendationer f\u00f6r fastighetsproffs<\/h2>\n

    F\u00f6r yrkesverksamma inom fastighetsbranschen har tre huvudomr\u00e5den pekats ut f\u00f6r att underl\u00e4tta anpassningen till den nya situationen:<\/p>\n

      \n
    1. Fokus p\u00e5 unga, som \u00e4r den viktigaste k\u00f6pargruppen \u2013 s\u00e4rskilt de som vill sluta hyra med hj\u00e4lp av familjens st\u00f6d.<\/li>\n
    2. Prioritera kundanskaffning, som kan vara sv\u00e5rare \u00e4n tidigare; den verkliga utmaningen \u00e4r att hitta l\u00e4mpliga objekt p\u00e5 andrahandsmarknaden och s\u00e4tta r\u00e4tt prisniv\u00e5er.<\/li>\n
    3. F\u00f6rst\u00e5 att k\u00f6pbeslut fattas inom triangeln \u00abk\u00f6pare\u2013m\u00e4klare\u2013familj\u00bb, d\u00e4r f\u00f6r\u00e4ldrarna vanligtvis st\u00e5r f\u00f6r huvuddelen av kontantinsatsen.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

      Dessa strukturella f\u00f6r\u00e4ndringar tecknar en bild av en marknad d\u00e4r efterfr\u00e5gan f\u00f6rblir stabil s\u00e5 l\u00e4nge utbudsbristen best\u00e5r och familjernas ekonomiska st\u00f6d forts\u00e4tter. Fastighetsproffs b\u00f6r ta h\u00e4nsyn till denna nya dynamik, med stigande priser, unga k\u00f6pare med begr\u00e4nsade resurser och familjer som omf\u00f6rdelar sitt sparande, eftersom det blir avg\u00f6rande f\u00f6r att kunna f\u00f6rutse trender och st\u00f6dja varje kundprofil mer effektivt.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      En ny boom p\u00e5 den spanska bostadsmarknaden Portalen Fotocasa\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":34,"featured_media":1009225,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1007357","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articles"],"yoast_head":"\nEkonomens bed\u00f6mning: Spanien st\u00e5r inf\u00f6r en fastighetsboom \u2013 inga tecken p\u00e5 bubbla<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"D\u00e4rf\u00f6r kan en uppg\u00e5ng komma \u2013 begr\u00e4nsat byggande, stark efterfr\u00e5gan, migration och jobb\u00adtillv\u00e4xt \u2013 samtidigt som stabilitetsm\u00e5tt (LTV\/DTI, hush\u00e5llens skulds\u00e4ttning, l\u00e5g spekulation) inte visar \u00f6verhettning. Vad det betyder f\u00f6r k\u00f6pare och investerare.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/alegria-realestate.com\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1007357\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sv_SE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Ekonomens bed\u00f6mning: Spanien st\u00e5r inf\u00f6r en fastighetsboom \u2013 inga tecken p\u00e5 bubbla\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"D\u00e4rf\u00f6r kan en uppg\u00e5ng komma \u2013 begr\u00e4nsat byggande, stark efterfr\u00e5gan, migration och jobb\u00adtillv\u00e4xt \u2013 samtidigt som stabilitetsm\u00e5tt (LTV\/DTI, hush\u00e5llens skulds\u00e4ttning, l\u00e5g spekulation) inte visar \u00f6verhettning. 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